Biden has boxed himself into a corner on Iran, but the solution is simple… rejoin the nuclear deal with no preconditions

Iran will not yield to the Biden administration’s unrealistic and unreasonable demands for the US to rejoin the nuclear agreement. So the president is going to have to show some pragmatism and flexibility to move things forward.

The US Senate confirmation hearings for President Joe Biden’s nominee for the position of deputy secretary of state, Wendy Sherman, offer interesting insights into the quandary facing the Biden administration in fulfilling a campaign pledge to rejoin the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA, better known as the Iran nuclear agreement).

While a vote along strict party lines would assure her of confirmation, the fact is Sherman faces an uphill fight given her prior role in negotiating the 2015 Iran nuclear agreement, and the fact that many senior Democrats, including Senator Bob Menendez, the Chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Services Committee overseeing her hearing, are vehemently opposed to the deal.

Menendez’s arguments against the Iran nuclear deal, initially articulated during a floor speech in May 2015, have not changed over time. Simply put, he does not trust Iran to comply with the deal, and is fearful of any movement toward rejoining the agreement that would keep Congress out of the loop.

His position, and that of many others, is that any nuclear deal with Iran must go beyond the conditions imposed under the existing agreement, lengthening the time during which Iran would be constrained, and increasing the severity of the restrictions imposed. He also believes that there can be no agreement on Iran’s nuclear program that does not consider its ballistic missile capabilities and so-called “malign” activities in Lebanon, Syria, Iraq and Yemen, among others.

Menendez’s position is not far removed from that of President Biden. While the public perception is that candidate Joe Biden made a straightforward campaign pledge to rejoin the Iran nuclear agreement if elected, the reality is somewhat different. In a September 2020 op-ed penned for CNN, Biden outlined a course of action that reflects the thinking of his administration when it comes to Iran’s nuclear program. “I will offer Tehran a credible path back to diplomacy,” Biden noted then. “If Iran returns to strict compliance with the nuclear deal, the United States would rejoin the agreement as a starting point for follow-on negotiations. With our allies, we will work to strengthen and extend the nuclear deal’s provisions, while also addressing other issues of concern.”

As such, it should not have come as any surprise when Sherman, one of the key negotiators of the Iran nuclear agreement, failed to rise in defense of the document she helped create during her hearing. Rather, Sherman seemed to morph into a mini-Menendez, echoing his concerns in a statement that could have been written by the senator himself. “I remain clear-eyed about the threat that Iran poses to our interests and those of our allies,” Sherman said.“I would note that 2021 is not 2015, when the deal was agreed, nor 2016, when it was implemented. The facts on the ground have changed, the geopolitics of the region have changed, and the way forward must similarly change.”

Sherman indicated that, if confirmed, she would take a new approach toward any future negotiations regarding Iran’s nuclear program. She noted that she did not anticipate the Biden administration replicating the negotiating strategy of the Obama administration, adding that any agreement would “be decided on the merits of where we are today, not nostalgia for what might have been.”

While Sherman’s verbal gymnastics may very well win her confirmation, adding her voice to a growing chorus of bi-partisan demands for substantive changes in the scope and scale of the Iran nuclear agreement as a precondition for the US rejoining does not alter the fact that the Biden administration is setting itself up for failure. By caving into domestic pressure to make demands that are as unrealistic as they are unreasonable, the Biden administration is setting the same trap for itself as the Obama administration.

Prior to 2014, the Obama administration had insisted on Iran’s total abandonment of nuclear enrichment as a precondition for the lifting of sanctions. Ultimately, Iran refused to yield, while actually expanding the size and capabilities of its indigenous enrichment capability.

Having boxed itself into a corner where the only path out was an unwinnable war that would devastate the Middle East and gut the global economy, the Obama administration capitulated on its demands of zero enrichment, agreeing to permit Iran to engage in limited enrichment activity which would be subjected to restrictions that would ease and eventually expire over time. This was the JCPOA, which Sherman helped negotiate.