Inflection 18: What a US-China War Would Look Like?

The US is clearly preparing the battlefield for what US war planners call a limited conventional conflict with China confined to East Asia. What would such a war look like? Why wouldn’t China use its nuclear arsenal? Would the US seek to militarily defeat China? Or would there be another non-military objective the US sought to achieve?

***War Plans***

US Office of the Historian – Memo 189 (1965):
https://history.state.gov/historicald…

RAND Corporation – War with China, Thinking Through the Unthinkable (2016):
https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand…

SCMP – Explainer | US-China rivalry: who has the stronger military?:
https://www.scmp.com/news/china/milit…

Compared military spending adjusted to PPP
https://www.economist.com/graphic-det… https://www.defenseone.com/ideas/2020…

60 Minutes Australia – War with China: Are we closer than we think? | Under Investigation:
https://youtu.be/kA2KaEKs1LA

***Missiles & Straits***

Radio Free Asia – U.S. Indo-Pacific Command Proposes New Missile Capabilities to Deter China:
https://www.rfa.org/english/news/chin…

Defense News – Here’s the US Marine Corps’ plan for sinking Chinese ships with drone missile launchers:
https://www.defensenews.com/naval/202…

Modern Diplomacy – The Strait of Malacca: China between Singapore and the United States:
https://moderndiplomacy.eu/2020/11/24…

Forbes – Could The Indian Navy Strangle China’s Lifeline In The Malacca Strait?:
https://www.forbes.com/sites/hisutton…

***Nukes***

Forbes – There’s No Chance China Will Out-Nuke The United States:
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe…

BBC – Turkey’s downing of Russian warplane – what we know:
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle…

***Airlift Capability***

Business Insider – China’s air force has big plans for its biggest planes:
https://www.defensenews.com/training-…

Aviation Week – China Leading Strategic Airlift Fleet Expansion:
https://aviationweek.com/defense-spac…

***Asymmetrical War***

*ETIM*

Newsweek – Exclusive: Despite China’s Pressure on Taliban, Uyghur Separatists See Opportunity in Afghanistan:
https://www.newsweek.com/exclusive-de…

United Nations Security Council – ETIM:
https://www.un.org/securitycouncil/sa…

NED – XINJIANG / EAST TURKESTAN (CHINA) 2020:
https://www.ned.org/region/asia/xinji…

Uyghur Human Rights Project – About:
https://uhrp.org/about/

World Uyghur Congress – About:
https://www.uyghurcongress.org/en/int…

*Baluchistan Separatists*

Al Jazeera – At least two killed in suicide bombing in southwest Pakistan:
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/8…

Guardian – Protests in Pakistan erupt against China’s belt and road plan:
https://www.theguardian.com/environme…

National Interest – Free Baluchistan:
https://nationalinterest.org/commenta…

GovTrack – H.Con.Res. 104 (112th): Expressing the sense of Congress that the people of Baluchistan, currently divided between Pakistan, Iran, and Afghanistan, have the right to self-determination and to their own sovereign country:
https://www.govtrack.us/congress/bill…

US House of Representatives Hearing – Baluchistan (2012):
https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/C…