What fresh “theatre” may the “frustrated” Trump use to get out of the Iranian war situation?

What is the most serious military warning the Revolutionary Guard issued to him? And why will the Hajj season and the World Cup have the greatest influence on the outcome of the war, both militarily and diplomatically?

In the last three days, the only phrase that drew attention and was uttered by U.S. President Donald Trump was “It will end soon with Iran”; despite being talkative, he did not specify what he meant by this “prophecy” or how the end of this war would be, whether in peace or war, after three months of this war, in which he failed to win or achieve any of its objectives.

The certain thing, and it has become a point of consensus among his friends and allies before his opponents, and there are many of them, is that Trump is living in a chronic state of frustration and feels deceived by his Iranian negotiators for their success in their long-term strategy, manoeuvring, and wasting time on details, according to the “yes but” theory, especially in the two most prominent files on the negotiation table: the Iranian nuclear program first, and then

Time is not on Trump’s side, as the Hajj season for Islamic holy sites in Saudi Arabia has already begun, and World Cup matches in America are set to begin around two weeks after the Hajj season concludes. Following these two events, the United States Senate and House of Representatives will hold their midterm elections.

We wish to indicate by citing all of the above that Trump is not in a strong position to deal with the Iranian crisis trap and its political, diplomatic, and economic risks. Any military response must be short, limited, and results-guaranteed. A diplomatic solution can only be achieved if Iran meets all its conditions. The most important of these conditions is the lifting of the two blockades: the first is a military blockade on Iranian ports, and the second is an economic blockade on Iran, along with compensation for the damages caused by American-Israeli aggression against Iran.

However, after three months of battle and discussions, the Iranian position has become stronger and more resilient. Iran has ‘legitimised’ its dominance and grip on the Strait of Hormuz, making no concessions in the most crucial negotiation files. It still has over 460 kilograms of highly enriched uranium (60 per cent) and the right to continue enrichment as a diplomatic privilege. Most crucially, the “sacred” belief that the big and powerful America, coupled with the Israeli occupation state, can decisively win wars in their favour, particularly in the Middle East, in a matter of days, has collapsed. We cannot overlook or dismiss Trump’s threats to wipe Iran off the map and destroy it, nor Netanyahu’s claims that “Israel” alone, without American assistance, is capable of occupying Iran, demolishing it, overturning the current regime, and replacing it with another.

I paused for a long time at today’s statement from an Iranian military source, which boldly warned President Trump and his administration in three parts.

• The first: Any foolish move by the adversary will result in the third edition of the Iranian battle, which will include all new weaponry and equipment, as well as sophisticated military and security tactics and methods.

• The second: If the United States goes beyond its limitations and resorts to military action, it will face the third major punishment in less than a year for its aggressiveness, and it will be a surprising and unprecedented punishment in terms of strength, readiness, and consequences.

• The third option is for you, Trump, to fully recognise Iranian rights, accept them all without exception, immediately cease aggression, withdraw all forces, and put an end to all wars.

Trump and his mentor, Netanyahu, leaked two crucial messages implying that military action and renewed hostility are near. The first message claims that Trump will remain in Washington in the coming days and will not travel to Miami to attend his son’s wedding. The second message is Netanyahu’s declaration of a state of emergency and maximum readiness among the Israeli army in preparation for the United States’ decision to launch the war.

These releases will not deter or intimidate Iranians, who are well-prepared to face any aggression. Furthermore, any American strike will be limited, flashy, and possibly agreed upon to offer Trump a pretext for declaring victory and therefore ending the conflict, in a clear interpretation and validation of Trump’s “lone” assertion yesterday that “the situation in Iran will end soon”.

President Johnson withdrew from Vietnam and handed over control to President Nixon; President Obama did the same in Iraq, withdrawing 160,000 troops to limit losses and recognise defeat; and President Joe Biden did the same in Afghanistan, resulting in a humiliating departure. So, is it Trump’s turn to hoist the white flag and retreat from Iran?

We do not rule it out, because neither Iraq nor Afghanistan has hypersonic missiles, fragmentation warheads, a strong will, or, most significantly, 460 kilograms of highly enriched uranium, which can be used to build at least 10 nuclear bombs in a few weeks, if not sooner.

What fresh “theatre” may the “frustrated” Trump use to get out of the Iranian war situation?