interview

UAE vs Saudi Arabia Rift Explained: Iran War Aftermath

Is Israel splitting the Gulf? Will the Gulf states abandon the U.S. security umbrella?

Giorgio Cafiero, CEO of Gulf State Analytics, joins Rania Khalek and Zoe Alexandra to unpack the geopolitical shifts happening inside the Gulf monarchies after the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran, including:

  • Why Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Oman now see Israel as a growing threat, while the UAE moves closer to Tel Aviv
  • How the Trump administration ignored Gulf warnings and left them exposed to Iranian retaliation
  • The collapse of the Saudi-Iran détente and what comes next
  • Why Gulf states are seeking alternatives to the U.S. security umbrella
  • How domestic public opinion in Saudi Arabia is blocking normalization with Israel

Major cracks are emerging within the Gulf, as the UAE appears to cozy up more to Israel.

@GiorgioCafiero of @GulfStateAnalyt explains how Gulf monarchies are recalculating in the wake of the Iran war and the future of US influence in the region.

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Rania Khalek

Rania Khalek is an award-winning Lebanese-American journalist and host of Dispatches on Breakthrough News, where she investigates the global consequences of imperialism, war, and systemic oppression. With over a decade of frontline reporting from conflict zones and marginalized communities, her work has been featured in The Nation, The Intercept, Al Jazeera, FAIR, and The Electronic Intifada, where she served on the editorial board.

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