Why is Trump postponing his attack on Iran?

How did aircraft carriers become a burden on the American military establishment?

The Israeli occupation state and its Zionist lobbies in the United States exert tremendous pressure on President Donald Trump, his administration, and the American military establishment not only to accelerate the aggression against Iran but also to expand its destructive scope. The delay of this aggression and the failure to give the green light to start it are primarily due to two main reasons:

The first reason is that the deep American state is attempting to obstruct or even prevent the aggression, as it serves Israel’s interests and could harm American political and military interests and prestige both in the Middle East and globally.

The second reason is President Trump’s personal hesitation, stemming from his belief that he has placed himself in this difficult situation. He is trying to find a diplomatic exit that would spare him and his administration the terrifying consequences that could ensue, especially since the failure of the American-Israeli aggression in June of last year is still fresh in people’s minds.

The first American aggression against Tehran did not require this massive deployment of aircraft carriers, bombers, and warships for a simple reason: the presence of American bases surrounding Iran and the western Gulf Coast. The American bombers launched from these bases, particularly from Al Udeid in Qatar, and from other bases in Europe.

The presence of General Brad Cooper, the commander of the U.S. Central Command, in Tel Aviv, holding intensive meetings with his counterpart, General Eyal Zamir, Chief of Staff of the Israeli Defence Forces, indicates that the occupying state is playing a significant role in planning and executing this expected aggression. The task includes determining what is referred to as the Iranian target bank in preparation for a strike, which justifies Iran’s bombardment by considering it a partner in the aggression, even if it did not participate directly.

To limit the responsibility of determining the timing and nature of the attack to President Trump, as he is the primary and sole decision-maker in giving the order to launch bombers toward Iran, this, in our opinion, comes under direct instructions from the deep American state, which insists on prior consultation with it. We must remember that the deep state is the one that requested the Senate, one of its prominent arms, to issue a decree preventing Trump from sending ground forces to occupy Venezuela and change its regime, due to the potentially catastrophic consequences that could result from that.

The Israeli media is leading a calculated campaign of intimidation and misinformation these days to pressure Iran and force it to surrender to Trump’s conditions and return to the negotiating table on his terms, intensifying discussions and focusing on two main objectives:

The assassination of Mr Imam Ali Khamenei, the Supreme Leader, and the close circle surrounding him, including military and political leaders such as General Mohammad Pakpour, commander of the Revolutionary Guard; Gholam Reza Soleimani, commander of the Basij, Ismail Qaani, commander of the Quds Force, in addition to Ali Shamkhani, one of the most prominent advisors to the Supreme Leader who survived a similar assassination attempt in the Israeli attack at the beginning of the aggression last June.

Second: Launching intensive attacks on Iranian strategic targets, such as nuclear facilities, missiles, and military industry headquarters, and attempting to destroy them to achieve what the initial raids failed to accomplish in the 12-day war, which marks a significant milestone in the dual Israeli-American military strategy.

Trump’s hesitation, which has become evident, is primarily due to his generals’ fear of Iran inflicting massive human, material, and moral losses on more than 70,000 soldiers stationed in 55 American bases in the Middle East.

It is foolish for the Americans and Israelis to think that the Iranian leaders who top the list of American and Israeli assassinations are sitting in public squares waiting for bombers to eliminate them. The same applies to nuclear and missile headquarters and strategic military installations.

The events of the 12-day war have proven that Iran has learnt from its mistakes and closed most of the gaps in its defensive strategy. This is what prompted the occupying state to plead for a quick ceasefire to minimise losses after the destruction of half of Greater Tel Aviv, many military bases in its vicinity, and the cities of Haifa and Beersheba, as well as the success of advanced Iranian missiles penetrating all Israeli systems and reaching their targets.

The American aircraft carriers and destroyers, en route to Iran’s territorial waters in the Indian Ocean and the Arabian Sea, have become a significant military challenge for the U.S. Central Command. Their significance is due to their vulnerability to hundreds of missiles and drones, both Iranian and Yemeni. In this context, we should take note of their retreat to the northern Red Sea, where Yemeni missiles rendered them inoperable. These carriers cost billions of dollars to build. Still, they can be incapacitated by Yemeni drones and missiles that cost only a few thousand dollars each to manufacture, whether they are Iranian or Yemeni, as they are locally produced and not imported.

Ironically, and we mention this incident as a reminder, the American destroyer “USS Cole” was destroyed in the Gulf of Aden by a Yemeni cell in October 2000, killing and injuring hundreds of the naval soldiers on board. Will America’s upcoming aggression against Iran replicate this scene?

Any American aggression against Iran will inevitably lead to an unprecedentedly long military confrontation by Iran, utilising all Iranian capabilities, both known and secret. The assault will include bombing bases and the occupying state, closing the Strait of Hormuz, and preventing the passage of more than 21 million barrels of oil daily, which will raise prices to over a hundred or even two hundred dollars, depending on the duration of the war and its initial outcomes.

We say to the deep American state, from this platform, that the upcoming war, if President Trump ignites it under Israeli pressure, is not your war. This upcoming conflict will be solely an Israeli war, in which the United States has no involvement or interest, and it will certainly fail to change the regime in Tehran. If you need to protect your president’s reputation and your military institution, we recommend that you either return to the negotiation table to seek diplomatic solutions or initiate a symbolic show of force in coordination with the Iranian leadership. You should also stop supporting the genocidal and ethnic cleansing wars of the Israeli occupation state and grant the Palestinian people all their rights in full without any reduction.

I know that you will not heed our advice because we do not speak Hebrew, and our names are not Netanyahu, Zamer, or Sharon… And the rest is up to your understanding.

Why is Trump postponing his attack on Iran?