The 2009 US Plan for Iran War Sees New Opportunity in Israeli Gaza Ops + Update on Ukraine

– Ukraine’s “operational pause” is Kiev annoucning the “Spring Offensive” has for all intents and purposes, ended;

– West continues to suffer setbacks in supplying ammunition to Ukraine including diverting much of it to Israel now;

– Israel continues air and ground attacks on Gaza, compounding a growing humanitarian catastrophe;

– US policymakers since at least as early as 2009 planned to provoke Iran into a conflict either directly or by proxy through Israel;

– The US is citing drone and rocket attacks on illegal US military bases in Syria and Iraq as a pretext to deploy anti-aircraft and anti-missile systems designed to down entirely different types of threats;

– It is clear that as the US had planned in 2009, Washington and its Israeli allies are preparing the battlefield ahead of a deliberate effort to goad Iran and its allies into a wider conflict;

– The US is fighting a 3 front proxy war through Ukraine in Eastern Europe against Russia, Israel in the Middle East against Iran, and Taiwan against the rest of China in Asia;

– With Iran’s role in supporting Russia’s successful military operation in Ukraine, the US has added incentive to eliminate Iran as a Russian-Chinese ally;

– The Middle East was transforming in favor of multipolarism with the US clearly attempting to disrupt the process by introducing widespread conflict;

– The US may feel the best possibility of success exists in the Middle East as its proxy war in Ukraine unravels and China’s military capabilities continue to close the gap between itself and US capabilities;

References:

Center for European Policy Analysis (CEPA) – Ukraine Draws Breath After Southern Successes (October 23, 2023):
https://cepa.org/article/ukraine-draw…

CEPA – Our Supporters:
https://cepa.org/about-cepa/our-suppo…

Bloomberg – Ukraine’s Missing EU Ammunition Could Hand Russia Advantage (October 26, 2023):
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl…

Reuters – Israel pounds Gaza’s north as it steps up ground assault (October 30, 2023):
https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-…

Guardian – Israelis hesitant over Gaza ground invasion amid hostage fears, poll shows (October 27, 2023):
https://www.theguardian.com/world/202…

Reuters – Blinken tells UN: US doesn’t want war with Iran but will defend itself (October 24, 2023):
https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-…

CNN – US strikes 2 facilities linked to Iranian-backed militias in Syria following series of attacks on US forces in Middle East (October 27, 2023):
https://edition.cnn.com/2023/10/26/po…

Brookings Institution – Contributors List (2020):
https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/…

Brookings Institution – Which Path to Persia? Options for a New American Strategy toward Iran (2009):
https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/…

The Atlantic – The Arab Spring: ‘A Virus That Will Attack Moscow and Beijing’ (2011):
https://www.theatlantic.com/internati…

NYT – U.S. Groups Helped Nurture Arab Uprisings (2011):
https://www.nytimes.com/2011/04/15/wo…

New Yorker – The Redirection (2007):
https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/20…