TheAltWorld Will the Iranian-American deal hold?
What are the predicted outcomes in both cases? And why will Netanyahu and his organisation be the biggest losers? And how did Trump, although belatedly, admit to deception and defeat?
Finally, after a hundred days of aggressiveness, which Netanyahu dragged him into with his eyes wide open, Donald Trump realised he would not win the war against Iran and that the possibilities of losing were far greater than the chances of success. As a result, he decided to surrender, raise white flags, and seek a way out to minimise his losses and save face. He found a solution in the hands of his Pakistani supporters, who provided him with a lifeline in the form of a “memorandum of understanding” that led to a ceasefire, stopped a regional war of attrition, and reluctantly recognised Iranian and Omani sovereignty over the Gulf of Hormuz. After waking up from his intoxication and significant deception, he focused his arrows onto those who had duped him, specifically the Israeli occupying state.
Trump may sign this “memorandum” with the leaders of the state for which he conducted war to depose their current Islamic dictatorship, replace it with a puppet regime, deprive Iran of its nuclear ambitions, and seize more than 460 kilos of highly enriched uranium, enough to make ten nuclear bombs. Most importantly, it would require acknowledging the unity of the fronts, giving in to Iranian demands that the truce cover all fronts, particularly the Lebanese front.
Postponing the resolution of contentious issues, especially the Iranian nuclear file, and referring them to negotiations that will begin immediately after the ceasefire, lifting the gradual sanctions on Iran for a period of two months, and unfreezing tens of billions of its funds, all these concessions reflect the first fruits of the smart Iranian administration’s success, accompanied by rapid military deterrence against any American or Israeli strikes in the Strait.
Iran engaged with the US and European countries for more than two years over its nuclear programme and the delicate enrichment issue in multiple capitals, beginning in Vienna and finishing in Geneva, without making a single concession. Ironically, Abbas Araghchi led its negotiating delegation and followed the leadership’s “yes, but” approach, which is based on another theory called “we welcome and study” any offers given at the negotiation table. As a result, he was promoted to lead Iranian diplomacy as minister of foreign affairs under both the previous and present regimes.
The Iranian administration has many options at its disposal, which it has used skilfully to counter Israeli-American aggression. These cards include the nuclear card, military readiness based on self-sufficiency in missile manufacture, and highly advanced drones. However, one of the most essential cards is front-line unity, backing for resistance factions, and broadening the scope of the conflict into a regional attrition battle. All of these cards have paid off, forcing Trump, humiliated, to accept the current arrangement and end the war as soon as possible.
Regardless of the validity of this memorandum of understanding, the Israeli occupying state is the biggest loser, not due to a lack of contact or participation, but because it was the architect and main instigator of this war. Netanyahu, who had been chastised and labelled nuts by his “rebellious” disciple and servant, Trump, was utterly ignored and relied on newspaper sources, television stations, and social media for information. Glory to the changer of circumstances.
The unification of the arenas, which reflects one of Iran’s most notable strategic triumphs, as well as the leadership’s insistence on a total truce in the Lebanese arena, dealt the occupying state its most serious blow. This development is due to its adoption and American endorsement in the proposed memorandum, which “legitimises” Hezbollah’s presence as a resistance movement while also criminalising the Israeli occupation and its destructive operations.
Netanyahu duped Trump by dragging him into this war like a sheep, convincing him that Iran would collapse with the first wave of American and Israeli joint missiles and that tens of millions of Iranians would take to the streets dancing in celebration of this aggression, accompanied by demands to overthrow the government. And now that the battle has lasted a hundred days, the outcomes have been quite opposite. The Iranian Islamic government is becoming stronger and more resilient, bolstering both ground and popular unity while also embodying nuclear and regional sovereignty.
We say it without hesitation, with complete honesty and clarity: Trump has been defeated, and the state of Israeli occupation is rapidly heading toward collapse, becoming more isolated and hated, especially by its strategic American ally, both people and government, who fell into the trap of its lies, forged information, and blackmail to serve its interests and racist terrorist plans at the expense of America’s interests, people, and status as a great power.
Trump drove America to loss, whether this agreement holds or not, and this failure will be amply demonstrated in the next American midterm elections in November. We do not rule out the possibility that he and others who duped him, specifically Benjamin Netanyahu, may wind up in prison as prominent emblems of folly, crime, and failure.
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