Five Takeaways From The Latest Sectarian Violence In Syria

The most likely scenario is that the Kristallnacht-like massacre of Alawites goes unpunished and the rebellion by some of the victims’ co-religionists is decisively defeated.
Syria was rocked by sectarian violence in recent days after the interim authorities and their foreign allies massacred members of the Alawite minority en masse in response to an armed rebellion from some of their co-religionists. It’s impossible to independently determine how many people have been killed, but social media is awash with videos showing the execution of children, women, and the elderly, which anyone can easily find if they look for them. Here are five observations about what just happened:
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1. Syria Just Suffered Its Own Kristallnacht
The interim authorities and their supporters collectively blame Alawites for every Assad-era grievance just like the Nazis blamed Jews for every grievance before, during, and after World War I. It was therefore inevitable that Syria would suffer its own Kristallnacht given the hatred that was boiling. Just like the preplanned pogrom against Jews was set into motion by the killing of a Nazi diplomat, so too was a similar pogrom against Alawites set into motion by the armed rebellion that some of them attempted.
2. Different Roles Led To Different Reactions
The interim authorities and their supporters don’t want foreign forces involving themselves in what they insist is a domestic affair, which is the opposite of their stance when they were in the opposition and urged foreign forces to intervene on various pretexts. Likewise, some of the victims and their supporters want maximum international media coverage, sanctions (maintaining existing ones and imposing new sanctions), and even a humanitarian intervention despite opposing all three before Assad’s downfall.
3. Inconsistent Approaches Towards Israel
The interim authorities and their supporters haven’t meaningfully responded to Israel’s military expansion inside Syria that’s placed its forces just outside of Damascus, yet they rapidly mobilized to brutally put down the armed rebellion from some of their own compatriots. They also claimed for years that Assad was secretly colluding with Israel, but their inconsistent approaches towards it, including some of them receiving support from Israel in the past, expose their hypocrisy on this sensitive issue.
4. Russia Is Placed In A Very Difficult Position
Russia is in talks with the interim authorities to retain its air and naval bases, but it’s also sheltering some of the (presumably mostly Alawite) civilians that these same authorities sought to slaughter. This might place Russia in a difficult position if the interim authorities demand that these civilians be handed over to them otherwise they’ll rescind their Assad-era military base deal. Russia doesn’t want to lose these facilities, but it also doesn’t want those civilians’ blood on its hand, which would lead to a dilemma.
5. A Coalition Of Malcontents Is Forming
It’s premature to predict that Syria will Balkanize along identity-centric lines, but a coalition of malcontents is veritably taking shape even if only informally among its various minorities like the Alawites, Druze, and Kurds. No mechanism has yet to be created for coordinating their activities, but it can’t be ruled out that one might soon be unveiled, including through the efforts of Israel, the UAE, and/or Russia (all three of which are close) or Iran (whether together with Russia or on its own).
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The most likely scenario is that the Kristallnacht-like massacre of Alawites goes unpunished and the rebellion by some of the victims’ co-religionists is decisively defeated. Another hybrid civil-international war probably won’t break out anytime soon unless coordinated with the Druze, Kurds, and foreign forces, which doesn’t seem likely for now. The best that can therefore happen is that Putin grants refugee status to the civilians under his country’s protection and lets them move to Russia without delay.
https://korybko.substack.com/p/five-takeaways-from-the-latest-sectarian
lambedor de bunda
First it is not “Sectarian Violence”. It is organized genocide by the terrorist group funded by the US/Europe/UK/israel/Turkey who seized illegally power in Syria following Russia’s betrayal and lack of action to defend Syria.
Putin forbade his generals to do what they would have done: wipe out the takfiri vermin who are now exterminating minorities starting by Alawites and Christians.
We should also remember that part of the HTS terror group is also made of foreigners from central Asia.
“Russia Is Placed In A Very Difficult Position”
LOL. Russia or rather Putin, place itself in this situation by letting down Assad and Iran who could have trashed the takfiri scum if Russia air power had played his role instead of pretending.
Putin probably got a “deal” from the incoming Trump last November to save the ass of israel which was on its knees, sacrifice Syria and Hezbollah in exchange most likely of the ‘peace’ process we see today and the end of the color revolution in Georgia among other things.
The communities who are paying the price of these short term policies (very surprising from Russia) are the Christians, Alawites, Kurds, Druze and Shiites.
Those who profit from the crime are of course the zionists, the Turks and the US and their eurolackeys.
In 2015, the fake ‘refugee crisis’ was launched by those who want to destroy the homogeneity of western societies based on the exact crimes that the terror group HTS has committed this week.
But this time, nothing from the western jewish controlled media and their brain-dead followers waving ‘refugees welcome’ flags, the Syrian minorities can be exterminated, the west doesn’t care as long as Assad is gone.