Israel edging towards collapse: MEMO in conversation with Sharmine Narwani

The occupation’s reliance on swift, decisive wars have left it unprepared for the current genocide it is carrying out in Gaza. Military, economic and political spheres are showing signs of decline as a result. Can Israel survive after the war on Gaza?

Is Israel in a death spiral? That’s the question we will be discussing with our guest, Sharmine Narwani, a Beirut- and UK-based geopolitical analyst.

Narwani recently delivered a presentation at the American University of Beirut (AUB), entitled ‘Asymmetrical Warfare: How to boil the Israeli frog’, and gives us further insights into talk. Narwani utilises the ‘boiling frog’ analogy to shed light on Israel’s ongoing challenges. She contends that, like the frog in the parable, Israel is gradually being overwhelmed by a range of pressures, edging towards collapse without fully recognising the severity of the situation. Our conversation examines how Israel’s historical reliance on swift, decisive wars has left it unprepared for the drawn-out nature of the current genocidal campaign in Gaza, with signs of decline evident in its military, economic, political and societal spheres.

We also discuss the impact of Israel’s changing global image, the phenomenon of ‘reverse aliyah’ – the movement of Jews out of Israel, and the impact of shifting geopolitical dynamics on Israel’s strategic options. Narwani’s incisive analysis, backed by economic indicators and military data, paints a stark picture of a nation potentially trapped in an irreversible downward trajectory and to its own demise.

Narwani is a writer and analyst of West Asian geopolitics and a columnist at the Cradle. Her work has been published in a broad array of media outlets, including the American Conservative, Russia Today, the New York Times, USA Today, the Guardian, Al-Akhbar English, Assafir, Huffington Post, BRICS Post, Salon.com, Al Jazeera and others.