Russia-Ukraine war: How peace efforts are fuelling a diplomatic mess

A cacophony of conflicting strategies and goals are emerging from Washington, Moscow and European chancelleries

In recent weeks, a surreal diplomatic ballet has unfolded in international politics, allegedly aimed at ending the war in Ukraine.

It dances around a leaked 28-point peace plan originally attributed to US President Donald Trump, which was likely drafted by someone with zero diplomatic experience. The same plan was later attributed to Russia, in a possible attempt to sabotage it.

It’s unclear who leaked the plan, but there are certainly figures in Washington who do not want the war to end this way. Secretary of State Marco Rubio is among the leading neoconservatives within the Trump administration.

As this was all unfolding, an embarrassing phone conversation between US envoy Steve Witkoff and Russian presidential adviser Yuri Ushakov was leaked to Bloomberg. Moscow speculated that the goal of the leak, in which Witkoff allegedly advised Ushakov on how to pitch a Ukraine peace plan to Trump, was to derail the 28-point proposal.

At the centre of one of (possibly several) negotiating teams on the American side is Army Secretary Daniel Driscoll, a protege of Vice President JD Vance, the leading Maga representative within the Trump administration.

The Europeans, in full panic mode, have issued their own plan to end the Ukraine war, in an attempt to contain the damage to their own standing and to Ukrainians. Although better drafted, however, it’s just as unrealistic.

EU policy expert Eldar Mamedov described the European plan as an attempt “to hollow out the American proposal until it becomes unacceptable to Moscow”, noting in a Responsible Statecraft column: “European leaders are offering public lip service to Trump’s efforts to end the war while maneuvering to sabotage any initiative that deviates from their maximalist – and unattainable – goals of complete Russian capitulation in Ukraine.”

Surreal atmosphere

The context of this supposed peace initiative is indeed quite messy.

In this surreal atmosphere, Russia is looking to force Ukraine’s capitulation; the EU is trying to force a total Russian surrender, in hopes of pushing regime change in Moscow; and the US is looking for the EU to cave to the political and economic terms dictated by Washington and Moscow, hoping to pave the way for Trump to earn his long-coveted Nobel Peace Prize.

The situation appears unsustainable. It is not even clear how many negotiating teams the US has involved in this peace effort, nor who to engage on the Russian side. A power struggle is clearly ongoing within the US administration between the Magas and the neocons – those allied with Vance versus those with Rubio.

But while the Russian and American positions reflect – as ugly it might appear – a clear aim based on power politics and business interests, the European plan is, unsurprisingly, detached from reality. European leaders seem incapable of offering a clear vision beyond a ceasefire, with no credible ideas for a lasting security architecture on the continent.

What European chancelleries struggle, or refuse, to understand is that Russia is not interested in simply freezing the conflict. Moscow wants to settle this permanently, and has no interest in repeating the experience of the Minsk agreements.

During their Alaska summit last August, Trump moved towards understanding some of Russian President Vladimir Putin’s arguments, probably for the first time. This does not automatically transform him into a Russian asset at the top of American power, but such cognitive empathy is a basic prerequisite for any successful negotiation.

As to diplomatic practice, the first draft of any peace deal is just that; it will be subject to many amendments. Proposals usually reflect the realities on the battlefield, and on that front, the Ukrainians appear to be near the point of collapse.

To make a historical analogy, at the 1945 Yalta Conference, there were several critics of the major concessions granted to the Soviet Union. They did not take into account that the Red Army was then less than 100 kilometres from Berlin, while the Anglo-American armies were stuck in the Ardennes.

Witkoff is set to visit Moscow this week, but there are no encouraging signals coming from the Kremlin about accepting a revised version of Trump’s 28-point plan.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky thus faces a terrible dilemma: accept a very bad deal now, or a horrible one in a few months.

https://www.middleeasteye.net/opinion/russia-ukraine-war-how-peace-efforts-are-fuelling-diplomatic-mess

2 thoughts on “Russia-Ukraine war: How peace efforts are fuelling a diplomatic mess

  • Serge Gansner

    The goal being to grab all the planet resources, depopulate and make sure that by the 2030’s we ‘will have nothing’ (and be very unhappy), the globalist stooges behind this ‘war’ launched when the covid scam was losing traction, will do everything in order their manufactured ‘war’ never stops or does when it fits the timing of their agenda.

    They are all in it together, against the rest of humanity, from Washington to Moscow, Kiev to Berlin, Brussels to London. The UN, EU, WEF, IMF, BIS, all the globalist crime syndicates, banksters, oligarchs and globalist vermin are working hands in hands to further destroy our natural rights, enslave those who will survive their attacks, plandemics, and economic warfare.

    The digital gulag they build around us, with Ai, social media, smartphones, digital id’s, the climate hoax and its minute cities, is fuelled by the crises they manufactured, from the organized invasions by hordes of scum, the plandemic, the genocides and wars (where they test their tools), the created hyper-inflation, planned economic destruction. All these are setup by mega corporations allied to totalitarian regimes (EU, US, UK, China, etc..) to impose of humanity hell on earth, open air concentration and death camps.

    Most people are so stupid, ignorant and cowardly that they would eat their own shit if their masters programmed them as they did during the covid hoax.

    The evil that is running this planet has not been able to thrive because of scumbags like Bill gates, the Rothschild, Netanyahu, Starmer or Trump but by the inaction, stupidity, cowardice and obedience of billions of morons who keep complying to the enslavement tools thrown at them (digital payments, qr codes, 5G, etc..)

    With friends like these, no need of enemies, they will denounce you to keep quiet in their miserable lives rather than fighting to save their children.

    Reply
    • Lazarevic

      In Russia he is charged with being the source of Bolshevism
      In Germany he is charged with being the cause of the Empire’s collapse
      In England he is charged with being the real world ruler, who rules as a super-nation over the nations, rules by the power of gold, and who plays nation against nation for his own purposes, remaining himself discreetly in the background.

      That, indeed, is one of the tragedies of these times, that “labor” and “capital” are fighting each other, when the conditions against which each one of them protests, and from which each one of them suffers, is not within their power to remedy at all, unless they find a way to wrest world control from that group of international financiers who create and control both these conditions.

      There is a super-capitalism which is supported wholly by the fiction that gold is wealth. There is a super-government which is allied to no government, which is free from them all, and yet which has its hand in them all. There is a race, a part of humanity, which has never yet been received as a welcome part, and which has succeeded in raising itself to a power that the proudest Gentile race has never claimed — not even Rome in the days of her proudest power. It is becoming more and more the conviction of men all over the world that the labor question, the wage question, the land question cannot be settled until first of all this matter of an international super-capitalistic government is settled.

      “To the victor belongs the spoils” is an old saying. And in a sense it is true that if all this power of control has been gained and held by a few men of a long-despised race, then either they are super-men whom it is powerless to resist, or they are ordinary men whom the rest of the world has permitted to obtain an undue and unsafe degree of power. Unless the Jews are super-men, the Gentiles will have themselves to blame for what has transpired, and they can look for rectification in a new scrutiny of the situation and a candid examination of the experiences of other countries.

      Reply

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